A Battle for Texas and a Ticket to the Final Four
The stakes don’t get much bigger than this—TCU and Texas face off in an all-Texas Elite Eight showdown for a spot in the Final Four. The Longhorns have been one of the most dominant teams in the country all season, while TCU is on a Cinderella run, proving they belong on the big stage.
Can Texas continue its dominant defensive play, or will TCU pull off another upset? Let’s break it all down!
📊 Head-to-Head Matchup
‣ Last Meeting: Texas 78, TCU 65 (Feb 19, 2024)
‣ Series History: Texas leads 12-3
‣ TCU’s Tournament Path:
✶ 1st Round: Def. Michigan 73-64
✶ 2nd Round: Def. Indiana 80-74
✶ Sweet 16: Def. Notre Dame 73-68
‣ Texas’ Tournament Path:
✶ 1st Round: Def. Drexel 82-53
✶ 2nd Round: Def. Alabama 73-66
✶ Sweet 16: Def. Tennessee 78-64
🔥 Key Matchups to Watch
1️⃣ Madison Booker (Texas) vs. TCU’s Perimeter Defense
‣ Booker is Texas’ top scorer, averaging 17.8 PPG, 5.6 APG, and 4.9 RPG.
‣ TCU’s guards need to disrupt her rhythm and force her into tough shots.
2️⃣ Sedona Prince (TCU) vs. Texas’ Interior Defense
‣ Prince has been a double-double machine, dominating inside.
‣ Texas has the athleticism and depth to throw different defenders at her.
3️⃣ Three-Point Shooting
‣ Texas shoots 36% from three, but TCU’s defense holds opponents to 30% from deep.
‣ If TCU can limit Texas’ perimeter success, they’ll have a chance to keep this close.
📈 Betting Trends & Stats
✅ Texas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
✅ TCU has gone UNDER the total in 5 of their last 7 games.
✅ Texas has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.
✅ TCU is 4-1 ATS as an underdog in this tournament.
🔎 Best Bets
‣ Texas -8.5
✶ The Longhorns have too much size, depth, and defense, and TCU’s Cinderella run may end here.
‣ First Half Under 70.5
✶ Both teams play physical defense, and Texas loves to control tempo early.
‣ Madison Booker Over 17.5 Points
✶ She’s Texas’ offensive engine and should thrive in a high-stakes matchup.
‣ Sedona Prince Over 9.5 Rebounds
✶ TCU needs her to dominate the glass to keep this close.
🏀 Prediction & Final Score
Texas has been dominant on both ends and has the experience, talent, and coaching edge in this matchup. TCU has been one of the best stories in the tournament, but the Longhorns’ defense and star power should be the difference in this one. Expect Texas to pull away late and punch their ticket to the Final Four.
🔮 Final Score Prediction: Texas 74, TCU 62
💭 Final Thoughts
TCU has been incredibly fun to watch, but Texas is built for this stage. The Longhorns’ defense, transition game, and offensive balance should prove too much for TCU to handle over 40 minutes. Madison Booker is the X-factor—if she plays well, Texas should control this game.
📲 Who you got? Drop your predictions below!
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