Huskies vs. Sooners: Who Advances to the Elite 8? Full Game Breakdown

📍 Matchup: #2 UConn Huskies (33-3) vs. #3 Oklahoma Sooners (27-7)
📅 Date: March 29, 2025
🕐 Time: 5:30 PM ET
📍 Location: Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena – Spokane, WA
📺 TV: ESPN
💰 Spread: UConn -15.5 | O/U 153.5
🔮 ESPN Predictor: UConn 87.8% Win Probability


🔥 Game Preview

The UConn Huskies, a perennial powerhouse, face off against the Oklahoma Sooners in a highly anticipated Sweet 16 matchup. UConn enters this game as a significant favorite, aiming to secure their spot in the Elite Eight with their powerful lineup and impressive tournament run.

Will Oklahoma be able to pull off an upset, or will UConn continue their dominant path toward a national title?Let’s dive into the details.


📊 Head-to-Head Matchup

Last Meeting: UConn 76, Oklahoma 67 (Dec 15, 2024)

Series History: UConn leads 5-0

✶ Oklahoma’s Tournament Path:
‣ 1st Round: Def. Middle Tennessee 74-58
‣ 2nd Round: Def. Virginia Tech 69-65

✶ UConn’s Tournament Path:
‣ 1st Round: Def. Arkansas State 103-34
‣ 2nd Round: Def. South Dakota State 91-57

🏀 Key Takeaways from the Last Meeting

✶UConn pulled away late, outscoring Oklahoma 20-10 in the final quarter.

Paige Bueckers led the Huskies with 25 points, while Jewel Spear contributed 19 points for the Sooners.

✶UConn dominated the boards, securing 45 rebounds compared to Oklahoma’s 33.


🔥 Key Matchups to Watch

1️⃣ Paige Bueckers (UConn) vs. Oklahoma’s Defense

Bueckers is UConn’s star, averaging 19.2 PPG and is a crucial playmaker.

✶Oklahoma’s defense will need to focus on limiting her scoring opportunities and making her work for every point.

2️⃣ UConn’s Frontcourt vs. Oklahoma’s Rebounding

✶UConn’s frontcourt has been effective this season, particularly in securing rebounds.

✶Oklahoma must win the rebounding battle to have a chance, as second-chance points could be critical.

3️⃣ Three-Point Shooting Battle

✶UConn has a strong perimeter game, shooting 38% from three, while Oklahoma allows opponents to shoot 35%.

✶The ability of players like Shaylee Gonzales and Jewel Spear to hit timely three-pointers could swing momentum in this game.


📈 Betting Trends & Stats

✅ UConn is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
✅ Oklahoma has gone OVER the total in 4 of their last 5 games.
✅ UConn has covered the spread in 22 of their 35 games this season.
✅ Oklahoma has 19 wins in 32 games against the spread this season.


💰 Best Bets

🔹 Spread: UConn -15.5

🔅UConn’s talent and experience in big games give them a significant edge. They have the potential to pull away and cover the spread against Oklahoma.

🔹 Total: Under 153.5

🔅Given UConn’s elite defense, which allows only 51.5 points per game, this game could see fewer total points, especially if UConn controls the tempo.

🔹 Player Props to Consider

✅ Paige Bueckers (UConn) Over 19.5 Points

🔅Bueckers has been consistent and will need to score heavily for UConn to secure a comfortable win.

✅ Jewel Spear (Oklahoma) Over 2.5 Threes

🔅Spear is Oklahoma’s best perimeter shooter and will need to hit shots to keep them competitive.


🔮 Prediction & Final Score

UConn is heavily favored due to their experience, depth, and dominant play throughout the tournament. While Oklahoma has shown resilience, the combination of UConn’s defensive prowess and offensive firepower will likely be too much to handle. Expect UConn to impose their will early and control the game to secure a spot in the Elite Eight.

💡 Final Score Prediction:
🔵 UConn 82
🟠 Oklahoma 65


Final Thoughts 💭

UConn has proven they can dominate against tough opponents, and their blend of experienced players and strong defense will be crucial in this matchup. Oklahoma must find a way to limit UConn’s scoring and capitalize on their chances. If UConn plays to their potential, they should advance confidently.

🏀 Betting Lean: UConn -15.5 | UConn First half -8.5 |


Who do you think will advance to the Elite Eight? 🤔 Share your predictions below! ⬇️

📢 Check back for live updates and betting insights throughout the tournament! 🎙🔥

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